Mathematical Sports Predictions — October 11, 2026
Zort priced 118 soccer games for October 11, 2026, spanning La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1 and 31 other competitions. These predictions are free and published every day at 10:00 UTC, built from live odds across around 27 sportsbooks, de-vigged with Shin's method and modeled with a Poisson/Dixon-Coles scoreline engine. The model's highest-confidence picks on October 11, 2026 are River Plate to beat Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (82%), Benfica to beat Vitória SC (80%) and Union Saint-Gilloise to beat Leuven (77%).
| League | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Pred | Score | Goals | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇬🇧ENG1 |
Crystal Palace
vs Nottingham Forest
|
36% | 29% | 36% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 46% |
| 🇬🇧ENG1 |
Hull City
vs Everton
|
25% | 28% | 47% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 48% |
| 🇬🇧ENG1 |
Liverpool
vs Manchester City
|
36% | 25% | 38% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 63% |
| 🇪🇸ESP1 |
Elche CF
vs Celta Vigo
|
34% | 29% | 37% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 48% |
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| 🇪🇸ESP1 |
Real Sociedad
vs Deportivo La Coruña
|
60% | 23% | 17% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 47% |
| 🇪🇸ESP1 |
Real Betis
vs CA Osasuna
|
62% | 22% | 16% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | No 48% |
| 🇪🇸ESP1 |
Real Racing Club de Santander
vs Valencia
|
42% | 26% | 32% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇮🇹ITA1 |
Como
vs AS Roma
|
37% | 26% | 36% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 62% |
| 🇮🇹ITA1 |
Lecce
vs Bologna
|
22% | 28% | 50% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 52% |
| 🇮🇹ITA1 |
Lazio
vs Monza
|
61% | 23% | 16% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 51% |
| 🇮🇹ITA1 |
Sassuolo
vs AC Milan
|
22% | 25% | 53% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 46% |
| 🇮🇹ITA1 |
Cagliari
vs Juventus
|
15% | 24% | 62% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 56% |
| 🇩🇪GER1 |
1. FC Köln
vs Borussia Monchengladbach
|
48% | 23% | 29% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 65% |
| 🇩🇪GER1 |
SC Freiburg
vs FC Schalke 04
|
58% | 23% | 19% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 58% |
| 🇫🇷FRA1 |
Nice
vs Strasbourg
|
41% | 26% | 33% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇫🇷FRA1 |
Rennes
vs Auxerre
|
68% | 19% | 14% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | No 44% |
| 🇫🇷FRA1 |
Troyes
vs Marseille
|
25% | 24% | 51% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 61% |
| 🇹🇷TUR1 |
Torku Konyaspor
vs Basaksehir
|
35% | 27% | 38% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 58% |
| 🇹🇷TUR1 |
Gazişehir Gaziantep
vs Çorum FK
|
36% | 27% | 36% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 45% |
| 🇹🇷TUR1 |
Besiktas JK
vs Kocaelispor
|
75% | 16% | 8% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | No 55% |
| 🇬🇧ENG2 |
Southampton
vs Portsmouth
|
61% | 22% | 17% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | No 45% |
| 🇧🇷BRA1 |
Sao Paulo
vs Vitoria
|
60% | 24% | 16% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 53% |
| 🇧🇷BRA1 |
Atletico Mineiro
vs Santos
|
48% | 27% | 25% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 48% |
| 🇧🇷BRA1 |
Palmeiras
vs Corinthians
|
63% | 23% | 14% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 56% |
| 🇧🇷BRA1 |
Flamengo
vs Fluminense
|
71% | 19% | 10% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | No 54% |
| 🇧🇷BRA1 |
Grêmio
vs Internacional
|
35% | 28% | 37% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 47% |
| 🇧🇷BRA1 |
Bahia
vs Mirassol
|
58% | 23% | 19% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 55% |
| 🇵🇹POR1 |
Rio Ave FC
vs Nacional
|
41% | 29% | 30% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 46% |
| 🇵🇹POR1 |
Benfica
vs Vitória SC
|
80% | 14% | 7% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | No 53% |
| 🇵🇹POR1 |
Arouca
vs CF Estrela
|
45% | 27% | 28% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 46% |
| 🇳🇱NED1 |
FC Utrecht
vs Willem II
|
65% | 20% | 16% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
| 🇳🇱NED1 |
SC Telstar
vs ADO Den Haag
|
47% | 25% | 28% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 64% |
| 🇳🇱NED1 |
FC Zwolle
vs SC Cambuur
|
49% | 24% | 27% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 64% |
| 🇳🇱NED1 |
Excelsior
vs Groningen
|
37% | 26% | 37% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 63% |
| 🇬🇧SCO1 |
Motherwell
vs Celtic
|
19% | 21% | 61% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 61% |
| 🇬🇧SCO1 |
Aberdeen
vs St Johnstone
|
44% | 28% | 29% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 46% |
| 🇪🇸ESP2 |
Andorra CF
vs CD Castellón
|
30% | 26% | 44% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 62% |
| 🇪🇸ESP2 |
Almería
vs Leganés
|
59% | 22% | 19% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 56% |
| 🇪🇸ESP2 |
Mallorca
vs Las Palmas
|
61% | 23% | 16% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 50% |
| 🇪🇸ESP2 |
Cádiz CF
vs Sporting Gijón
|
38% | 29% | 34% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 50% |
| 🇮🇹ITA2 |
US Catanzaro 1929
vs Mantova
|
41% | 27% | 32% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 57% |
| 🇮🇹ITA2 |
Padova
vs Carrarese
|
49% | 27% | 24% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 47% |
| 🇮🇹ITA2 |
Modena
vs Hellas Verona
|
47% | 28% | 25% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 49% |
| 🇩🇪GER2 |
VfL Bochum
vs Arminia Bielefeld
|
41% | 26% | 33% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇩🇪GER2 |
FC St. Pauli
vs Karlsruher SC
|
56% | 22% | 22% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 64% |
| 🇩🇪GER2 |
Hertha Berlin
vs Greuther Fürth
|
61% | 20% | 19% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 64% |
| 🇺🇸USA1 |
Austin FC
vs Nashville SC
|
24% | 25% | 51% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 56% |
| 🇺🇸USA1 |
Minnesota United FC
vs Houston Dynamo
|
46% | 26% | 28% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
| 🇺🇸USA1 |
Sporting Kansas City
vs Portland Timbers
|
40% | 23% | 37% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 70% |
| 🇺🇸USA1 |
Colorado Rapids
vs San Jose Earthquakes
|
50% | 24% | 26% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 62% |
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| 🇺🇸USA1 |
Los Angeles FC
vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC
|
36% | 25% | 39% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 62% |
| 🇺🇸USA1 |
St. Louis City SC
vs LA Galaxy
|
60% | 20% | 20% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 65% |
| 🇲🇽MEX1 |
Atlas
vs Guadalajara
|
30% | 26% | 44% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 58% |
| 🇲🇽MEX1 |
América
vs Monterrey
|
52% | 25% | 23% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
| 🇲🇽MEX1 |
Atlético San Luis
vs Santos Laguna
|
49% | 25% | 26% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇲🇽MEX1 |
Pachuca
vs Necaxa
|
57% | 23% | 20% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 57% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
River Plate
vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
|
82% | 14% | 4% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | No 70% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
San Lorenzo
vs Deportivo Riestra
|
39% | 33% | 28% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 63% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Platense
vs Argentinos Juniors
|
30% | 32% | 38% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 59% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Rosario Central
vs Independiente Rivadavia
|
50% | 28% | 22% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 54% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Racing Club
vs Belgrano de Cordoba
|
40% | 30% | 29% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 54% |
| 🇧🇪BEL1 |
Standard Liege
vs Charleroi
|
32% | 27% | 41% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 57% |
| 🇧🇪BEL1 |
Union Saint-Gilloise
vs Leuven
|
77% | 15% | 8% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 50% |
| 🇧🇪BEL1 |
Westerlo
vs Royal Antwerp
|
45% | 24% | 31% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 64% |
| 🇧🇪BEL1 |
KV Mechelen
vs Sint Truiden
|
29% | 26% | 45% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇦🇹AUT1 |
Hartberg
vs Austria Lustenau
|
45% | 26% | 29% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 44% |
| 🇦🇹AUT1 |
Rheindorf Altach
vs Wolfsberger AC
|
48% | 25% | 27% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇦🇹AUT1 |
LASK
vs Rapid Wien
|
53% | 23% | 24% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 66% |
| 🇨🇭SUI1 |
Grasshopper Zürich
vs BSC Young Boys
|
20% | 19% | 62% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 71% |
| 🇨🇭SUI1 |
FC Vaduz
vs FC Basel
|
36% | 23% | 40% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 71% |
| 🇨🇭SUI1 |
FC St Gallen
vs FC Lausanne-Sport
|
62% | 20% | 18% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 64% |
| 🇬🇷GRE1 |
AE Kifisia FC
vs Panetolikos Agrinio
|
50% | 27% | 22% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 52% |
| 🇬🇷GRE1 |
Iraklis FC
vs Levadiakos
|
42% | 30% | 28% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 53% |
| 🇬🇷GRE1 |
Aris Thessaloniki
vs Volos FC
|
64% | 22% | 14% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 53% |
| 🇬🇷GRE1 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
vs Panathinaikos
|
45% | 29% | 27% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 51% |
| 🇸🇦KSA1 |
Al-Fayha
vs Al-Riyadh
|
44% | 27% | 28% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 45% |
| 🇸🇦KSA1 |
Abha Club
vs Al-Faisaly KSA FC
|
45% | 26% | 28% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 44% |
| 🇸🇦KSA1 |
Al-Shabab
vs Al-Taawoun
|
43% | 25% | 32% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 63% |
| 🇯🇵JPN1 |
JEF United Chiba
vs V-Varen Nagasaki
|
35% | 28% | 37% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 45% |
| 🇯🇵JPN1 |
Tokyo Verdy
vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
|
14% | 21% | 66% | 20:2 | 0:2 | Under2.5 | No 51% |
| 🇯🇵JPN1 |
Mito HollyHock
vs Shimizu S Pulse
|
36% | 28% | 36% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 48% |
| 🇯🇵JPN1 |
Kawasaki Frontale
vs Nagoya Grampus
|
52% | 24% | 25% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 63% |
| 🇰🇷KOR1 |
Gwangju FC
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
|
20% | 23% | 57% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 57% |
| 🇨🇳CHN1 |
Qingdao West Coast FC
vs Dalian Yingbo
|
36% | 27% | 37% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 57% |
| 🇨🇳CHN1 |
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
vs Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
|
37% | 26% | 36% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇨🇳CHN1 |
Liaoning Tieren FC
vs Wuhan Three Towns
|
40% | 24% | 36% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 65% |
| 🇨🇱CHI1 |
Everton de Viña del Mar
vs La Serena
|
54% | 24% | 22% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 58% |
| 🇨🇱CHI1 |
Coquimbo Unido
vs Colo Colo
|
30% | 28% | 42% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 47% |
| 🇨🇱CHI1 |
Deportes Concepción
vs Union La Calera
|
46% | 29% | 26% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 52% |
| 🇨🇱CHI1 |
Deportes Limache
vs Palestino
|
43% | 25% | 32% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 62% |
| 🇧🇷BRA2 |
Juventude
vs São Bernardo
|
61% | 24% | 15% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 56% |
| 🇧🇷BRA2 |
Atletico Goianiense
vs Sport Recife
|
52% | 27% | 22% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 49% |
| 🇧🇷BRA2 |
Nautico PE
vs Vila Nova
|
43% | 29% | 29% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 50% |
| 🇧🇷BRA2 |
Cuiabá
vs Avai
|
57% | 26% | 17% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 58% |
| 🇧🇷BRA2 |
Operario PR
vs Goiás
|
46% | 29% | 25% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 52% |
| 🇩🇪GER3 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
vs Wehen Wiesbaden
|
39% | 27% | 34% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
| 🇩🇪GER3 |
Alemannia Aachen
vs FC Viktoria Köln 1904
|
45% | 24% | 31% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 65% |
| 🇩🇪GER3 |
Fortuna Düsseldorf
vs SC Verl
|
54% | 23% | 23% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 61% |
| 🇳🇴NOR1 |
Fredrikstad FK
vs Tromso
|
34% | 27% | 39% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 44% |
| 🇳🇴NOR1 |
Aalesund
vs Sarpsborg FK
|
38% | 24% | 38% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 69% |
| 🇳🇴NOR1 |
IK Start
vs HamKam
|
49% | 25% | 26% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 61% |
| 🇳🇴NOR1 |
Lillestrom
vs Molde
|
32% | 24% | 45% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 70% |
| 🇸🇪SWE1 |
Hammarby IF
vs Djurgardens IF
|
55% | 22% | 22% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 61% |
| 🇸🇪SWE1 |
BK Hacken
vs Örgryte IS
|
73% | 16% | 11% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
| 🇸🇪SWE2 |
Örebro SK
vs Ljungskile SK
|
45% | 26% | 29% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 61% |
| 🇸🇪SWE2 |
IFK Värnamo
vs Falkenbergs FF
|
40% | 26% | 33% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
| 🇸🇪SWE2 |
IK Brage
vs Helsingborgs IF
|
40% | 26% | 34% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇩🇰DEN1 |
Silkeborg IF
vs AC Horsens
|
44% | 26% | 30% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 57% |
| 🇩🇰DEN1 |
Randers FC
vs Viborg FF
|
29% | 26% | 45% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 61% |
| 🇩🇰DEN1 |
Brondby IF
vs Lyngby
|
55% | 23% | 22% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
| 🇩🇰DEN1 |
FC Midtjylland
vs FC Copenhagen
|
37% | 26% | 37% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 61% |
| 🇫🇮FIN1 |
FC Inter Turku
vs KuPS Kuopio
|
45% | 27% | 28% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 45% |
| 🇷🇺RUS1 |
FC Akhmat Grozny
vs FC Baltika Kaliningrad
|
37% | 30% | 33% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 51% |
| 🇷🇺RUS1 |
CSKA Moscow
vs Rodina Moscow
|
69% | 18% | 13% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | — |
| 🇷🇺RUS1 |
Rubin Kazan
vs Dinamo Moscow
|
24% | 27% | 49% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 50% |
| 🇵🇱POL1 |
Piast Gliwice
vs Widzew Łódź
|
36% | 26% | 38% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 58% |
| 🇵🇱POL1 |
Pogoń Szczecin
vs Korona Kielce
|
42% | 27% | 30% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 56% |
| 🇵🇱POL1 |
Legia Warszawa
vs Wisła Kraków
|
47% | 25% | 27% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
Published every day at 10:00 UTC. Every past board is in the archive.
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Zort pulls live odds from around 27 UK and EU sportsbooks through The Odds API, strips out each sportsbook's margin using Shin's method rather than the simpler proportional method — which overstates long-shot chances by roughly 1.2 percentage points — and feeds the resulting true probabilities into a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model with a low-score correction. That model produces the 1/X/2 split, the correct score and the both teams to score read in the table above. An independent second opinion reviews each candidate when that review service is available; on the days it isn't, the board still ships on schedule, recorded internally as odds-only. The whole board goes live daily at 10:00 UTC.
What is a correct score prediction?
A correct score prediction is a call on the exact final scoreline of a match, such as 2-1, which is one of the hardest markets in soccer because dozens of scorelines are plausible in any single game. The Score column above is the most likely scoreline consistent with the outcome we predict, and the Goals column is that scoreline's own total. The full breakdown is at Correct Score Predictions.
What does both teams to score (BTTS) mean?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is a bet that each side finds the net at least once during the match, regardless of the final result — it settles as a simple Yes or No, with no draw outcome to account for. See Both Teams To Score Tips.
How do I track my own bets?
The Zort app reads a photo of your bet slip and logs the stake, odds and settled outcome automatically, then shows what your betting has actually returned across every sportsbook you use, in one place. Get Zort
Frequently asked questions
Are these soccer predictions free?
Yes. Every prediction on Zort, including the daily game board and both correct score and BTTS breakdowns, is free to view with no signup, login or payment.
When are the predictions published?
The full board is published daily at 10:00 UTC at zort-app.com/predictions/, covering every match priced that day — typically around 7 games on a quiet day and 20 to 40 during a full midweek round.
What does both teams to score mean?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is a bet that each team scores at least one goal during the match, regardless of who wins. It settles as Yes or No, with no draw outcome to consider.
How are the predictions made?
From live odds across roughly 27 UK and EU sportsbooks, de-vigged with Shin's method, fed into a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model with a low-score correction. An independent second opinion reviews each candidate when that review service is available; on the days it isn't, the board still publishes, recorded internally as odds-only.
Do the predictions win?
No prediction, ours included, can promise a soccer result. Correct score and BTTS markets carry real uncertainty by design, so treat every prediction as a probability, not a promise.
18+. Soccer predictions do not remove the uncertainty of the sport. If betting stops being fun, free tools and support are available at begambleaware.org.
More: Correct Score Predictions · Both Teams To Score Tips · Today’s betslips