Mathematical Soccer Predictions — August 17, 2026
Zort priced 13 soccer games for August 17, 2026, spanning La Liga, Primeira Liga, Super Lig, Championship and 6 other competitions. These predictions are free and published every day at 10:00 UTC, built from live odds across around 27 sportsbooks, de-vigged with Shin's method and modeled with a Poisson/Dixon-Coles scoreline engine. The model's highest-confidence picks today are Benfica to beat Casa Pia (80%), BK Hacken to beat Halmstads BK (73%) and Almería to beat CD Eldense (73%).
| League | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Pred | Score | Goals | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇪🇸ESP1 |
Deportivo La Coruña
vs Elche CF
|
43% | 31% | 26% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 51% |
| 🇵🇹POR1 |
Casa Pia
vs Benfica
|
6% | 14% | 80% | 20:2 | 0:2 | Under2.5 | No 59% |
| 🇹🇷TUR1 |
Samsunspor
vs Goztepe
|
43% | 29% | 28% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 54% |
| 🇬🇧ENG2 |
Cardiff City
vs Wrexham AFC
|
38% | 27% | 34% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
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| 🇪🇸ESP2 |
Sporting Gijón
vs Sabadell FC
|
53% | 27% | 20% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 53% |
| 🇪🇸ESP2 |
Almería
vs CD Eldense
|
73% | 17% | 9% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | No 52% |
| 🇧🇷BRA1 |
Internacional
vs Remo
|
61% | 23% | 16% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 50% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
vs Atlético Tucuman
|
31% | 33% | 35% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 59% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Lanus
vs Independiente
|
41% | 32% | 27% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 58% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Velez Sarsfield BA
vs Defensa y Justicia
|
54% | 27% | 19% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 56% |
| 🇸🇪SWE1 |
BK Hacken
vs Halmstads BK
|
73% | 16% | 11% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 55% |
| 🇩🇰DEN1 |
Brondby IF
vs SonderjyskE
|
69% | 19% | 12% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 52% |
| 🇫🇮FIN1 |
IF Gnistan
vs Ilves Tampere
|
38% | 26% | 36% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 64% |
Published every day at 10:00 UTC. Every past board is in the archive.
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Get ZortHow these soccer predictions are made
Zort pulls live odds from around 27 UK and EU sportsbooks through The Odds API, strips out each sportsbook's margin using Shin's method rather than the simpler proportional method — which overstates long-shot chances by roughly 1.2 percentage points — and feeds the resulting true probabilities into a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model with a low-score correction. That model produces the 1/X/2 split, the correct score and the both teams to score read in the table above. An AI second opinion reviews each candidate when that review service is available; on the days it isn't, the board still ships on schedule, recorded internally as odds-only. The whole board goes live daily at 10:00 UTC.
What is a correct score prediction?
A correct score prediction is a call on the exact final scoreline of a match, such as 2-1, which is one of the hardest markets in soccer because dozens of scorelines are plausible in any single game. The Score column above is the most likely scoreline consistent with the outcome we predict, and the Goals column is that scoreline's own total. The full breakdown is at Correct Score Predictions.
What does both teams to score (BTTS) mean?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is a bet that each side finds the net at least once during the match, regardless of the final result — it settles as a simple Yes or No, with no draw outcome to account for. See Both Teams To Score Tips.
How do I track my own bets?
The Zort app reads a photo of your bet slip and logs the stake, odds and settled outcome automatically, then shows what your betting has actually returned across every sportsbook you use, in one place. Get Zort
How accurate have these predictions been?
Every game priced between August 6, 2026 and September 2, 2026 (1843 matches), checked against the final score. Predicted is the confidence shown in the Pred column; observed is how often that pick actually won.
| Confidence shown | Predicted | Won | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35-45% | 40% | 35% | 794 |
| 45-55% | 50% | 48% | 566 |
| 55-65% | 59% | 59% | 293 |
| 65-75% | 69% | 74% | 146 |
| 75-100% | 79% | 95% | 41 |
- Exact scoreline right 13% of the time (1842 matches).
- Both teams to score right 57% of the time (1841 matches).
Updated weekly from settled results. A well-calibrated board has Predicted and Won close together in every row; a gap is a flaw in the model, and we publish it either way.
Frequently asked questions
Are these soccer predictions free?
Yes. Every prediction on Zort, including the daily game board and both correct score and BTTS breakdowns, is free to view with no signup, login or payment.
When are the predictions published?
The full board is published daily at 10:00 UTC at zort-app.com/predictions/, covering every match priced that day — typically around 7 games on a quiet day and 20 to 40 during a full midweek round.
What does both teams to score mean?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is a bet that each team scores at least one goal during the match, regardless of who wins. It settles as Yes or No, with no draw outcome to consider.
How are the predictions made?
From live odds across roughly 27 UK and EU sportsbooks, de-vigged with Shin's method, fed into a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model with a low-score correction. An AI second opinion reviews each candidate when that review service is available; on the days it isn't, the board still publishes, recorded internally as odds-only.
Do the predictions win?
No prediction, ours included, can promise a soccer result. Correct score and BTTS markets carry real uncertainty by design, so treat every prediction as a probability, not a promise.
18+. Soccer predictions do not remove the uncertainty of the sport. If betting stops being fun, free tools and support are available at begambleaware.org.
More: Correct Score Predictions · Both Teams To Score Tips · Today’s betslips