Mathematical Football Predictions — 03 October 2026
Zort priced 43 football fixtures for 03 October 2026, spanning UEFA Nations League, Brazil Série A, League 1, League 2 and 3 other competitions. These predictions are free and published every day at 10:00 UTC, built from live odds across around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method and modelled with a Poisson/Dixon-Coles scoreline engine. The model's highest-confidence picks on 03 October 2026 are Belarus to beat San Marino (88%), Spain to beat Czech Republic (88%) and Cuiabá to beat Ponte Preta (82%).
| League | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Pred | Score | Goals | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇪🇺UNL |
Finland
vs Albania
|
43% | 28% | 28% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 53% |
| 🇪🇺UNL |
Belarus
vs San Marino
|
88% | 9% | 3% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | No 61% |
| 🇪🇺UNL |
Iceland
vs Bulgaria
|
60% | 25% | 15% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 56% |
| 🇪🇺UNL |
Croatia
vs England
|
24% | 26% | 51% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 55% |
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| 🇪🇺UNL |
Estonia
vs Luxembourg
|
35% | 29% | 36% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 50% |
| 🇪🇺UNL |
Spain
vs Czech Republic
|
88% | 9% | 3% | 13:0 | 3:0 | Over2.5 | No 65% |
| 🇪🇺UNL |
Switzerland
vs Slovenia
|
69% | 19% | 11% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | No 54% |
| 🇧🇷BRA1 |
Atletico Mineiro
vs Bragantino-SP
|
46% | 27% | 27% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 47% |
| 🇬🇧ENG3 |
Barnsley
vs Milton Keynes Dons
|
39% | 26% | 35% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 62% |
| 🇬🇧ENG3 |
Blackpool
vs Leicester City
|
30% | 25% | 45% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 62% |
| 🇬🇧ENG3 |
Reading
vs Bradford City
|
41% | 28% | 31% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 47% |
| 🇬🇧ENG3 |
Bromley FC
vs Wycombe Wanderers
|
30% | 27% | 43% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 56% |
| 🇬🇧ENG3 |
Burton Albion
vs Huddersfield Town
|
24% | 25% | 51% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 45% |
| 🇬🇧ENG3 |
Luton
vs Doncaster Rovers
|
54% | 24% | 22% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 61% |
| 🇬🇧ENG3 |
Leyton Orient
vs Plymouth Argyle
|
27% | 25% | 48% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
| 🇬🇧ENG3 |
Wigan Athletic
vs Mansfield Town
|
41% | 27% | 33% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 57% |
| 🇬🇧ENG3 |
Peterborough United
vs Notts County
|
43% | 26% | 31% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇬🇧ENG3 |
Wimbledon
vs Stevenage
|
33% | 29% | 38% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 52% |
| 🇬🇧ENG4 |
Chesterfield FC
vs Tranmere Rovers
|
57% | 23% | 20% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 57% |
| 🇬🇧ENG4 |
Accrington Stanley
vs Cheltenham Town
|
41% | 26% | 33% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 58% |
| 🇬🇧ENG4 |
Crewe Alexandra
vs Bristol Rovers
|
32% | 27% | 41% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 44% |
| 🇬🇧ENG4 |
Colchester United
vs Port Vale
|
35% | 29% | 36% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 49% |
| 🇬🇧ENG4 |
Walsall
vs Crawley Town
|
58% | 23% | 19% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 57% |
| 🇬🇧ENG4 |
Exeter City
vs Rotherham United
|
37% | 28% | 35% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 45% |
| 🇬🇧ENG4 |
Salford City
vs Fleetwood Town
|
57% | 23% | 20% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 55% |
| 🇬🇧ENG4 |
Gillingham
vs Newport County
|
47% | 27% | 27% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 47% |
| 🇬🇧ENG4 |
Grimsby Town
vs Shrewsbury Town
|
56% | 24% | 20% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 54% |
| 🇬🇧ENG4 |
Northampton Town
vs Oldham Athletic
|
37% | 29% | 35% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 47% |
| 🇬🇧ENG4 |
Rochdale
vs Swindon Town
|
39% | 27% | 34% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 57% |
| 🇪🇸ESP2 |
Albacete
vs SD Eibar
|
35% | 28% | 37% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 47% |
| 🇪🇸ESP2 |
Almería
vs Burgos CF
|
59% | 24% | 17% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 51% |
| 🇪🇸ESP2 |
Sabadell FC
vs Andorra CF
|
45% | 28% | 26% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 49% |
| 🇪🇸ESP2 |
Cádiz CF
vs Leganés
|
33% | 29% | 38% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 52% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Boca Juniors
vs Union Santa Fe
|
61% | 24% | 15% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 56% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Independiente Rivadavia
vs Gimnasia La Plata
|
53% | 26% | 21% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 50% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Defensa y Justicia
vs San Lorenzo
|
44% | 31% | 25% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 58% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Atlético Tucuman
vs Barracas Central
|
49% | 31% | 20% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 62% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Newells Old Boys
vs Lanus
|
33% | 31% | 36% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 57% |
| 🇧🇷BRA2 |
Fortaleza
vs Nautico PE
|
54% | 26% | 20% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 52% |
| 🇧🇷BRA2 |
Avai
vs Ceará
|
36% | 30% | 34% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 51% |
| 🇧🇷BRA2 |
Atletico Goianiense
vs América Mineiro
|
70% | 20% | 10% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | No 56% |
| 🇧🇷BRA2 |
Cuiabá
vs Ponte Preta
|
82% | 13% | 5% | 12:0 | 2:0 | Under2.5 | No 61% |
| 🇧🇷BRA2 |
Botafogo-SP
vs Vila Nova
|
38% | 31% | 31% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 54% |
Published every day at 10:00 UTC. Every past board is in the archive.
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Get ZortHow these football predictions are made
Zort pulls live odds from around 27 UK and EU bookmakers through The Odds API, strips out each bookmaker's margin using Shin's method rather than the simpler proportional method — which overstates long-shot chances by roughly 1.2 percentage points — and feeds the resulting true probabilities into a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model with a low-score correction. That model produces the 1/X/2 split, the correct score and the both teams to score read in the table above. An independent second opinion reviews each candidate when that review service is available; on the days it isn't, the board still ships on schedule, recorded internally as odds-only. The whole board goes live daily at 10:00 UTC.
What is a correct score prediction?
A correct score prediction is a call on the exact final scoreline of a match, such as 2-1, which is one of the hardest markets in football because dozens of scorelines are plausible in any single game. The Score column above is the most likely scoreline consistent with the outcome we predict, and the Goals column is that scoreline's own total. The full breakdown is at Correct Score Predictions.
What does both teams to score (BTTS) mean?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is a bet that each side finds the net at least once during the match, regardless of the final result — it settles as a simple Yes or No, with no draw outcome to account for. See Both Teams To Score Tips.
How do I track my own bets?
The Zort app reads a photo of your bet slip and logs the stake, odds and settled outcome automatically, then shows what your betting has actually returned across every bookmaker you use, in one place. Get Zort
Frequently asked questions
Are these football predictions free?
Yes. Every prediction on Zort, including the daily fixture board and both correct score and BTTS breakdowns, is free to view with no signup, login or payment.
When are the predictions published?
The full board is published daily at 10:00 UTC at zort-app.com/predictions/, covering every match priced that day — typically around 7 fixtures on a quiet day and 20 to 40 during a full midweek round.
What does both teams to score mean?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is a bet that each team scores at least one goal during the match, regardless of who wins. It settles as Yes or No, with no draw outcome to consider.
How are the predictions made?
From live odds across roughly 27 UK and EU bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, fed into a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model with a low-score correction. An independent second opinion reviews each candidate when that review service is available; on the days it isn't, the board still publishes, recorded internally as odds-only.
Do the predictions win?
No prediction, ours included, can promise a football result. Correct score and BTTS markets carry real uncertainty by design, so treat every prediction as a probability, not a promise.
18+. Football predictions do not remove the uncertainty of the sport. If betting stops being fun, free tools and support are available at begambleaware.org.
More: Correct Score Predictions · Both Teams To Score Tips · Today’s betslips