Mathematical Football Predictions — 09 October 2026
Zort priced 43 football fixtures for 09 October 2026, spanning La Liga, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Super Lig and 20 other competitions. These predictions are free and published every day at 10:00 UTC, built from live odds across around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method and modelled with a Poisson/Dixon-Coles scoreline engine. The model's highest-confidence picks on 09 October 2026 are Galatasaray to beat Kasimpasa SK (78%), PSV Eindhoven to beat Heerenveen (78%) and Borussia Dortmund to beat Werder Bremen (71%).
| League | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Pred | Score | Goals | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇪🇸ESP1 |
Málaga
vs Espanyol
|
35% | 29% | 35% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 49% |
| 🇩🇪GER1 |
Borussia Dortmund
vs Werder Bremen
|
71% | 17% | 12% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
| 🇫🇷FRA1 |
RC Lens
vs Lyon
|
40% | 25% | 35% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 65% |
| 🇹🇷TUR1 |
Galatasaray
vs Kasimpasa SK
|
78% | 15% | 8% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 50% |
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| 🇬🇧ENG2 |
West Ham United
vs Queens Park Rangers
|
63% | 21% | 17% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 58% |
| 🇧🇷BRA1 |
Palmeiras
vs Bahia
|
62% | 21% | 16% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 55% |
| 🇧🇷BRA1 |
Fluminense
vs Coritiba
|
65% | 22% | 14% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 54% |
| 🇵🇹POR1 |
Moreirense FC
vs Gil Vicente
|
28% | 30% | 42% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 55% |
| 🇵🇹POR1 |
Braga
vs Sporting Lisbon
|
26% | 27% | 47% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 47% |
| 🇳🇱NED1 |
PSV Eindhoven
vs Heerenveen
|
78% | 12% | 9% | 13:1 | 3:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 67% |
| 🇮🇹ITA2 |
Avellino
vs Sampdoria
|
35% | 29% | 36% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 47% |
| 🇩🇪GER2 |
1. FC Heidenheim
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
|
51% | 25% | 25% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 61% |
| 🇩🇪GER2 |
Eintracht Braunschweig
vs Holstein Kiel
|
36% | 25% | 39% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 62% |
| 🇫🇷FRA2 |
USL Dunkerque
vs Annecy FC
|
42% | 27% | 31% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 44% |
| 🇫🇷FRA2 |
Sochaux
vs Boulogne
|
43% | 29% | 28% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 53% |
| 🇫🇷FRA2 |
Montpellier
vs Grenoble
|
59% | 25% | 16% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 53% |
| 🇫🇷FRA2 |
Nancy
vs Guingamp
|
45% | 25% | 29% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇫🇷FRA2 |
Pau FC
vs Stade Lavallois
|
45% | 27% | 27% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 47% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Aldosivi Mar del Plata
vs Sarmiento de Junin
|
38% | 31% | 31% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 55% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Gimnasia La Plata
vs Atlético Tucuman
|
46% | 29% | 24% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 55% |
| 🇦🇷ARG1 |
Instituto de Córdoba
vs Boca Juniors
|
31% | 32% | 37% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 58% |
| 🇧🇪BEL1 |
SK Beveren
vs Lommel SK
|
52% | 25% | 23% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 56% |
| 🇸🇦KSA1 |
Al-Kholood
vs Al-Qadsiah
|
16% | 20% | 64% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 57% |
| 🇸🇦KSA1 |
Al-Fateh
vs Al-Ahli
|
14% | 18% | 68% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇸🇦KSA1 |
Al-Nassr
vs Diriyah Club
|
66% | 19% | 15% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇯🇵JPN1 |
Kashima Antlers
vs Gamba Osaka
|
52% | 24% | 24% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
| 🇯🇵JPN1 |
Kashiwa Reysol
vs Vissel Kobe
|
44% | 27% | 28% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 46% |
| 🇰🇷KOR1 |
Daejeon Citizen
vs Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
|
42% | 26% | 32% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 56% |
| 🇰🇷KOR1 |
Gangwon FC
vs Bucheon FC 1995
|
54% | 26% | 20% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 54% |
| 🇰🇷KOR1 |
Incheon United
vs Pohang Steelers
|
42% | 30% | 28% | 11:0 | 1:0 | Under2.5 | No 55% |
| 🇨🇳CHN1 |
Qingdao Hainiu FC
vs Beijing FC
|
15% | 19% | 66% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 63% |
| 🇨🇳CHN1 |
Shenzhen Peng City FC
vs Henan FC
|
32% | 26% | 42% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 61% |
| 🇨🇳CHN1 |
Zhejiang
vs Shanghai SIPG FC
|
36% | 23% | 40% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 70% |
| 🇩🇪GER3 |
SC Preußen Münster
vs Rot-Weiss Essen
|
28% | 24% | 47% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 63% |
| 🇳🇴NOR1 |
SK Brann
vs Viking FK
|
33% | 23% | 43% | 21:2 | 1:2 | Over2.5 | Yes 68% |
| 🇸🇪SWE1 |
IFK Goteborg
vs Västerås SK
|
57% | 23% | 20% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 60% |
| 🇩🇰DEN1 |
FC Nordsjaelland
vs OB Odense BK
|
65% | 19% | 16% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 63% |
| 🇫🇮FIN1 |
SJK Seinäjoki
vs FC Lahti
|
37% | 26% | 37% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 59% |
| 🇵🇱POL1 |
Wieczysta Kraków
vs Wisła Płock
|
44% | 26% | 30% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 61% |
| 🇵🇱POL1 |
Raków Częstochowa
vs GKS Katowice
|
44% | 24% | 31% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 62% |
| 🇮🇪IRL1 |
Derry City
vs St Patricks Athletic
|
32% | 28% | 39% | 20:1 | 0:1 | Under2.5 | No 48% |
| 🇮🇪IRL1 |
Waterford FC
vs Galway United
|
45% | 25% | 30% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 62% |
| 🇮🇪IRL1 |
Shelbourne Dublin
vs Sligo Rovers
|
70% | 19% | 11% | 12:1 | 2:1 | Over2.5 | Yes 51% |
Published every day at 10:00 UTC. Every past board is in the archive.
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Get ZortHow these football predictions are made
Zort pulls live odds from around 27 UK and EU bookmakers through The Odds API, strips out each bookmaker's margin using Shin's method rather than the simpler proportional method — which overstates long-shot chances by roughly 1.2 percentage points — and feeds the resulting true probabilities into a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model with a low-score correction. That model produces the 1/X/2 split, the correct score and the both teams to score read in the table above. An independent second opinion reviews each candidate when that review service is available; on the days it isn't, the board still ships on schedule, recorded internally as odds-only. The whole board goes live daily at 10:00 UTC.
What is a correct score prediction?
A correct score prediction is a call on the exact final scoreline of a match, such as 2-1, which is one of the hardest markets in football because dozens of scorelines are plausible in any single game. The Score column above is the most likely scoreline consistent with the outcome we predict, and the Goals column is that scoreline's own total. The full breakdown is at Correct Score Predictions.
What does both teams to score (BTTS) mean?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is a bet that each side finds the net at least once during the match, regardless of the final result — it settles as a simple Yes or No, with no draw outcome to account for. See Both Teams To Score Tips.
How do I track my own bets?
The Zort app reads a photo of your bet slip and logs the stake, odds and settled outcome automatically, then shows what your betting has actually returned across every bookmaker you use, in one place. Get Zort
Frequently asked questions
Are these football predictions free?
Yes. Every prediction on Zort, including the daily fixture board and both correct score and BTTS breakdowns, is free to view with no signup, login or payment.
When are the predictions published?
The full board is published daily at 10:00 UTC at zort-app.com/predictions/, covering every match priced that day — typically around 7 fixtures on a quiet day and 20 to 40 during a full midweek round.
What does both teams to score mean?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is a bet that each team scores at least one goal during the match, regardless of who wins. It settles as Yes or No, with no draw outcome to consider.
How are the predictions made?
From live odds across roughly 27 UK and EU bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, fed into a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model with a low-score correction. An independent second opinion reviews each candidate when that review service is available; on the days it isn't, the board still publishes, recorded internally as odds-only.
Do the predictions win?
No prediction, ours included, can promise a football result. Correct score and BTTS markets carry real uncertainty by design, so treat every prediction as a probability, not a promise.
18+. Football predictions do not remove the uncertainty of the sport. If betting stops being fun, free tools and support are available at begambleaware.org.
More: Correct Score Predictions · Both Teams To Score Tips · Today’s betslips