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Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettini prediction

The betting market gives Ugo Humbert a 53% chance of beating Matteo Berrettini.

EventMatch12PredSpreadTotal
🇫🇷ATP Paris Masters
Ugo Humbert
vs Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini2: +0.5 gamesO/U 25.5 games
53% 47% Humbert 2–0 · 27% +0.5 25.5
Win chanceUgo Humbert 53%
Matteo Berrettini 47%
Game handicapMatteo Berrettini +0.5 games
Total games25.5
Start4 Nov, 15:40 UTC
CompetitionATP Paris Masters

Set score

Best of 3 sets (first to 2). Worked out from the bookmakers’ win prices, taking every set as a fresh contest at the same odds. Market numbers, not a pick.

Ugo Humbert 2–027%
Ugo Humbert 2–126%
Matteo Berrettini 2–124%
Matteo Berrettini 2–023%
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How to read this

The percentages are each player's win chance as the betting market prices it: every bookmaker's match-winner price with its margin removed (Shin's method), then the median across at least 3 books, exchanges left out. Player 1 is the first name listed. Spread and Total are in games, and Spread is player 2's line (−3.5: the market expects player 2 to win by about 3.5 games). Pred is the likeliest set score, with the player who wins it. It is worked out from the win chance, taking every set as a fresh contest at the same odds, over best of 5 sets at the men's Grand Slams and best of 3 everywhere else, and it is left out when the market's total games does not fit that format.

These are market numbers, not our picks, and no claim is made that they win. Zort is a bet tracker, not a betting app.

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