Mattia Bellucci vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction
The betting market gives Mattia Bellucci a 62% chance of beating Pablo Carreno Busta.
| Event | Match | 1 | 2 | Pred | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇫🇷ATP Paris Masters |
Mattia Bellucci
vs Pablo Carreno Busta
|
62% | 38% | Bellucci 2–0 · 34% | +2.5 | 22.5 |
| Win chance | Mattia Bellucci 62% Pablo Carreno Busta 38% |
|---|---|
| Game handicap | Pablo Carreno Busta +2.5 games |
| Total games | 22.5 |
| Start | 31 Oct, 10:05 UTC |
| Competition | ATP Paris Masters |
Set score
Best of 3 sets (first to 2). Worked out from the bookmakers’ win prices, taking every set as a fresh contest at the same odds. Market numbers, not a pick.
| Mattia Bellucci 2–0 | 34% |
|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci 2–1 | 28% |
| Pablo Carreno Busta 2–1 | 21% |
| Pablo Carreno Busta 2–0 | 18% |
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How to read this
The percentages are each player's win chance as the betting market prices it: every bookmaker's match-winner price with its margin removed (Shin's method), then the median across at least 3 books, exchanges left out. Player 1 is the first name listed. Spread and Total are in games, and Spread is player 2's line (−3.5: the market expects player 2 to win by about 3.5 games). Pred is the likeliest set score, with the player who wins it. It is worked out from the win chance, taking every set as a fresh contest at the same odds, over best of 5 sets at the men's Grand Slams and best of 3 everywhere else, and it is left out when the market's total games does not fit that format.
These are market numbers, not our picks, and no claim is made that they win. Zort is a bet tracker, not a betting app.