Frances Tiafoe vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction
Bookmaker odds give Carlos Alcaraz a 86% chance of beating Frances Tiafoe.
| Event | Match | 1 | 2 | Pred | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎾ATP Finals |
Frances Tiafoe
vs Carlos Alcaraz
|
14% | 86% | Alcaraz 2–0 · 58% | — | — |
| Win chance | Frances Tiafoe 14% Carlos Alcaraz 86% |
|---|---|
| Start | 16 Nov, 13:00 UTC |
| Competition | ATP Finals |
Set score
Best of 3 sets (first to 2). Worked out from the bookmakers’ win prices, taking every set as a fresh contest at the same odds. Market numbers, not a pick.
| Carlos Alcaraz 2–0 | 58% |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz 2–1 | 28% |
| Frances Tiafoe 2–1 | 8% |
| Frances Tiafoe 2–0 | 6% |
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How to read this
The percentages are each player's win chance as the betting market prices it: every bookmaker's match-winner price with its margin removed (Shin's method), then the median across at least 3 books, exchanges left out. Player 1 is the first name listed. Spread and Total are in games, and Spread is player 2's line (−3.5: the market expects player 2 to win by about 3.5 games). Pred is the likeliest set score, with the player who wins it. It is worked out from the win chance, taking every set as a fresh contest at the same odds, over best of 5 sets at the men's Grand Slams and best of 3 everywhere else, and it is left out when the market's total games does not fit that format.
These are market numbers, not our picks, and no claim is made that they win. Zort is a bet tracker, not a betting app.