Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — prediction, probabilities and score
Bundesliga · 17 Oct, 13:30 UTC

Zort's model makes Borussia Dortmund the most likely winner against Union Berlin, at 61%. The most likely score is 1:2. Both teams to score is a 59% chance. Kick-off is 17 Oct, 13:30 UTC in the Bundesliga.

PROBABILITIES: 1: 17%  X: 21%  2: 61%
PREDICTED: Borussia Dortmund to win (61%)
SCORELINE: 1:2
BTTS: Yes 59%

Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win.
Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/union-berlin-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-17
All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-10-17