Truro City FC vs Merthyr Town FC — prediction, probabilities and score
FA Cup · 22 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Zort's model makes Truro City FC the most likely winner against Merthyr Town FC, at 59%. The most likely score is ('2:1', 0.09993035695890141, 10.01). Both teams to score is a 57% chance. Kick-off is 22 Sep, 18:45 UTC in the FA Cup.

PROBABILITIES: 1: 59%  X: 23%  2: 18%
PREDICTED: Truro City FC to win (59%)
SCORELINE: ('2:1', 0.09993035695890141, 10.01)
BTTS: Yes 57%

Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win.
Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/truro-city-fc-vs-merthyr-town-fc-2026-09-22
All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-09-22