SK Sturm Graz vs Marseille — prediction, probabilities and score Europa League · 22 Oct, 16:45 UTC Zort's model makes Marseille the most likely winner against SK Sturm Graz, at 48%. The most likely score is 1:2. Both teams to score is a 58% chance. Kick-off is 22 Oct, 16:45 UTC in the Europa League. PROBABILITIES: 1: 27% X: 26% 2: 48% PREDICTED: Marseille to win (48%) SCORELINE: 1:2 BTTS: Yes 58% Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win. Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/sk-sturm-graz-vs-marseille-2026-10-22 All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-10-22