Real Madrid vs Villarreal — prediction, probabilities and score
La Liga · 10 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Zort's model makes Real Madrid the most likely winner against Villarreal, at 71%. The most likely score is 2:1. Both teams to score is a 66% chance. Kick-off is 10 Oct, 19:00 UTC in the La Liga.

PROBABILITIES: 1: 71%  X: 16%  2: 13%
PREDICTED: Real Madrid to win (71%)
SCORELINE: 2:1
BTTS: Yes 66%

Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win.
Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/real-madrid-vs-villarreal-2026-10-10
All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-10-10