Newcastle United vs Aston Villa — prediction, probabilities and score Premier League · 17 Oct, 16:30 UTC Zort's model makes Newcastle United the most likely winner against Aston Villa, at 42%. The most likely score is 2:1. Both teams to score is a 62% chance. Kick-off is 17 Oct, 16:30 UTC in the Premier League. PROBABILITIES: 1: 42% X: 25% 2: 32% PREDICTED: Newcastle United to win (42%) SCORELINE: 2:1 BTTS: Yes 62% Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win. Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/newcastle-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-10-17 All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-10-17