Liverpool vs Manchester City — prediction, probabilities and score
Premier League · 11 Oct, 15:30 UTC

Zort's model makes Manchester City the most likely winner against Liverpool, at 42%. The most likely score is 1:2. Both teams to score is a 63% chance. Kick-off is 11 Oct, 15:30 UTC in the Premier League.

PROBABILITIES: 1: 33%  X: 25%  2: 42%
PREDICTED: Manchester City to win (42%)
SCORELINE: 1:2
BTTS: Yes 63%

Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win.
Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/liverpool-vs-manchester-city-2026-10-11
All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-10-11