Iceland vs Luxembourg — prediction, probabilities and score
UEFA Nations League · 16 Nov, 17:00 UTC

Zort's model makes Iceland the most likely winner against Luxembourg, at 74%. The most likely score is 2:0. Both teams to score is a 42% chance. Kick-off is 16 Nov, 17:00 UTC in the UEFA Nations League.

PROBABILITIES: 1: 74%  X: 17%  2: 9%
PREDICTED: Iceland to win (74%)
SCORELINE: 2:0
BTTS: Yes 42%

Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win.
Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/iceland-vs-luxembourg-2026-11-16
All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-11-16