Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon — prediction, probabilities and score
Primeira Liga · 30 Oct, 20:15 UTC

Zort's model makes Sporting Lisbon the most likely winner against Casa Pia, at 76%. The most likely score is 0:2. Both teams to score is a 46% chance. Kick-off is 30 Oct, 20:15 UTC in the Primeira Liga.

PROBABILITIES: 1: 8%  X: 16%  2: 76%
PREDICTED: Sporting Lisbon to win (76%)
SCORELINE: 0:2
BTTS: Yes 46%

Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win.
Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/casa-pia-vs-sporting-lisbon-2026-10-30
All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-10-30