Bournemouth vs Aston Villa — prediction, probabilities and score
EFL Cup · 28 Oct, 19:45 UTC

Zort's model makes Bournemouth the most likely winner against Aston Villa, at 42%. The most likely score is 2:1. Both teams to score is a 59% chance. Kick-off is 28 Oct, 19:45 UTC in the EFL Cup.

PROBABILITIES: 1: 42%  X: 26%  2: 31%
PREDICTED: Bournemouth to win (42%)
SCORELINE: 2:1
BTTS: Yes 59%

Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win.
Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/bournemouth-vs-aston-villa-2026-10-28
All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-10-28