Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid — prediction, probabilities and score
La Liga · 20 Sep, 14:15 UTC

Zort's model makes Real Madrid the most likely winner against Atlético Madrid, at 49%. The most likely score is ('1:2', 0.09420702030363107, 10.61). Both teams to score is a 66% chance. Kick-off is 20 Sep, 14:15 UTC in the La Liga.

PROBABILITIES: 1: 26%  X: 25%  2: 49%
PREDICTED: Real Madrid to win (49%)
SCORELINE: ('1:2', 0.09420702030363107, 10.61)
BTTS: Yes 66%

Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win.
Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/atletico-madrid-vs-real-madrid-2026-09-20
All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-09-20