Arsenal vs Leeds United — prediction, probabilities and score
Premier League · 10 Oct, 11:30 UTC

Zort's model makes Arsenal the most likely winner against Leeds United, at 70%. The most likely score is 2:0. Both teams to score is a 44% chance. Kick-off is 10 Oct, 11:30 UTC in the Premier League.

PROBABILITIES: 1: 70%  X: 19%  2: 11%
PREDICTED: Arsenal to win (70%)
SCORELINE: 2:0
BTTS: Yes 44%

Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win.
Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/arsenal-vs-leeds-united-2026-10-10
All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-10-10