Alavés vs Málaga — prediction, probabilities and score
La Liga · 23 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Zort's model makes Alavés the most likely winner against Málaga, at 55%. The most likely score is 1:0. Both teams to score is a 47% chance. Kick-off is 23 Oct, 19:00 UTC in the La Liga.

PROBABILITIES: 1: 55%  X: 26%  2: 19%
PREDICTED: Alavés to win (55%)
SCORELINE: 1:0
BTTS: Yes 47%

Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win.
Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/alaves-vs-malaga-2026-10-23
All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-10-23