AEK Athens vs Real Madrid — prediction, probabilities and score Champions League · 04 Nov, 17:45 UTC Zort's model makes Real Madrid the most likely winner against AEK Athens, at 80%. The most likely score is 1:3. Both teams to score is a 58% chance. Kick-off is 04 Nov, 17:45 UTC in the Champions League. PROBABILITIES: 1: 7% X: 13% 2: 80% PREDICTED: Real Madrid to win (80%) SCORELINE: 1:3 BTTS: Yes 58% Method: odds from around 27 bookmakers, de-vigged with Shin's method, then a Poisson/Dixon-Coles model for scorelines. Free, published daily before kick-off. No claim is made that these win. Full page: https://zort-app.com/predictions/aek-athens-vs-real-madrid-2026-11-04 All fixtures for this date: https://zort-app.com/predictions/2026-11-04